Can mobs of the millennium be trusted to build The Renaissance Dam?

by Ephrem Madebo / May 31, 2011

Power does not corrupt man; fools, however, if they get into a position of power, corrupt power-  G. B. Shaw

When I first heard  about His Imperial Majesty Haile Selassie’s “billion” dollar Swiss Bank account, I was a naïve 9th grader who has no idea what a million birr was let alone a billion dollar. Actually, I was a green country boy who never heard financial amounts over a couple of thousands and who never new what a television set looked like.  Thanks to God, today TV is the last thing I see before I go to bed and it is the first thing I see every time I wake up. Today, I hear the phrase “trillion dollars” every day – but tragically; I also hear about leaders in my country who steal tens of billions of dollar from poor and hungry citizens. Emperor Haile Selassie was already a rich man when he was born, and he was raised to be richer; moreover, it took Haile Selassie more than 45 years to stash multibillion dollar in Swiss bank account.

The current leaders of Ethiopia were leaders of a rag-tag guerilla force who did not have a property worth mentioning when they assumed power in 1991.  When they set their foot on the streets of Addis Ababa some 20 years ago, none of the current TPLF leaders had a spare pair of shoe.  Today, they frequently go to Paris and Rome to buy shoes and apparel. Twenty years ago, none of them had a bank account more than may be a couple of thousands of Ethiopian birr, today, each of the TPLF leaders, their families, and their friends  have a fat foreign bank account [in Euro, UK Pound,  and US dollar]. They also have financial securities, real estate companies, and mansions in upscale residential areas of the UK, Germany, France and the United States.  Mind you these people are public officials; therefore, their income is public information. I’m sure none of them, including the prime minister who has an “endless contract” with the Ethiopian people earn more than $120, 000 a year. So how did these people manage to be multi-billionaires?

In May 2011, an incredibly shocking report by Global Financial Integrity [a report commissioned by the UNDP], overwhelmed the entire world; especially, people in developing countries. The report revealed the scale and composition of illicit flows of financial resources from poor countries to the big banks of the developed countries. On page 13 of this report, Ethiopia is cited as the top 4 countries in Africa [9th in the world] from where a huge sum of fund is transferred illegally into the banks of the developed world.  Thanks to the muggers from ‘Dedebit’, Ethiopia, one of the poorest countries on earth that usually leads the bottom pack in poverty indices, is now among the top ten countries in yet another very embarrassing statistics.

According to the report, a staggering 8.4 billion US dollar has over the past two decades been illegally and corruptly appropriated from the world’s poorest country [Ethiopia], almost all of it by a group of ethnically assembled politicians whose political ideology has no demarcation between a political party, the state and the economy. The word corruption is synonymous with the continent of Africa and Ethiopia is no exception. The exception in this case is – the scale of the corruption and the amount of public resources illicitly converted to private ownership and exported to international banking centers and financial havens. Mind you, Ethiopia is an aid dependent and non- oil exporting poor country where a good portion of the population depends on food-aid. So how did this very poor country that almost always finds itself at the bottom of development index tables, now finds itself at the top of a corruption table?  Well, we all know that the TPLF gangs are inherently corrupted ethnic Kleptocrats, but is this all that we have to say?  What is the role of donor nations here? The origin of the bulk of the 8.4 billion dollar is the Treasury of England, and after a quick round trip, its destination is commercial banks in England. So what exactly is the UK doing here?  Is it helping Ethiopia? Or this is simply another kind of banking bailout?

According to the UNDP commissioned paper, nearly 65 percent of the illicit financial flows from poor countries are through trade mispricing. Therefore, in the case of Ethiopia, this simply means that out of the total 8.4 billion dollar, 5.4 billion dollar was transferred into the individual accounts of foreign banks through a process known as trade mispricing or re-invoicing.  What about the other 3 billion dollar? Well, the destination and the actors are the same; but the 3 billion dollar was shipped to foreign banks by corrupt TPLF/EPRDF party members and their close associates. By the way, how big is 8.4 billion dollar and what is trade mispricing?

Trade Mispricing

Trade Mispricing is a phenomenon known as “Re-invoicing”, and re-invoicing is a dishonest commercial practice that takes place when goods are exported from one country under one invoice and then the invoice is redirected to another low-tax country where the invoice price is altered.  The revised invoice is sent to the importing country for clearing and payment purposes. In the case of Ethiopia, by insincerely overpricing imports or underpricing exports, trade mispricing shifts profits out of Ethiopia. This is not a windfall shift that could take any direction at any given time. This is a constant unidirectional movement of money. In our case, since trade mispricing redirects tax revenue that Ethiopia could have earned; the shift can be considered as the transfer of money from the Ethiopian treasury to the big banks of Europe.

There are many factors that facilitate such a massive amount of financial laundering, corruption, and political misconduct to take place in Ethiopia. Some of the main factors as enumerated by the rare voice of truth from Addis Ababa [Eskinder Nega] are:  feeble rule of law; suffocated civil society; suppressed free media; nominal judicial independence; patronage based civil service, absence of a democracy with checks and balances.

As we all know, Ethiopia’s 86 billion [PPP] dollar economy is dominated by a tribally owned economic conglomerate called EFFORT that dominates the import and export sectors of the nation. In fact, companies owned by EFFORT are key players in every sector of the Ethiopian economy. Unlike many companies in the private sector, EFFORT companies have no pressure or fear of the competition because they have the political baton to kill the competition before it starts. The naïve West and donor nations consider EFFORT as a privately owned company. But, the truth is that, there is no difference between EFFORT and the ruling TPLF party- they both control Ethiopia. TPLF is the political arm whereas EFFORT is the economic arm of the ruling minority regime. All in all, EFFORT is primarily responsible for public corruption in Ethiopia and trade mispricing that allowed the theft of 8.4 billion dollar form poor Ethiopians.

How much is 8.4 billion dollar?

Once a famous United States Senator form Illinois said: a billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you’re talking about real money. United States, China, or Japan – by any standard; 8.4 billion dollar is a lot of money. In Ethiopia, where 40% of the population lives on less than a dollar a day, 8.4 billion dollar is an enormously huge amount of money. The quote of the humorous senator reminded me a recent doodle on aigaforum by a hallucinating writer who tried to tell us how quickly the quote of financial amounts is changing in Ethiopia form millions to billions. The naïve writer seems to be overjoyed with his own narratives because to him the change of tone form “millions to billions” signifies Zenawi’s gift to Ethiopia- which is “economic growth”. What about the theft of 8.4 billion? Would that make Zenawi and his thugs “Muggers” of the millennium?  Or  ????? ???”!

What does 8.4 billion dollar or 138.6 billion birr look like? In today’s TPLF controlled Ethiopia, a million birr is tossed around by big rollers like a candy treat. A million birr could be a big deal for a working person that sweats the whole day to earn less than 50 birr [$3], but for the TPLF party members who steal in billion dollars; a million birr is just a tip.  I created the following table to give the reader a sense of what exactly 8.4 billion dollar looks like. Most of the values in the table are estimated in a very generous way. For example, $150,000 which is 2.4 million birr can build more than one high school in most parts of Ethiopia. Taking this into consideration, I’m sure the table will shade a light to many clueless people like me who have no idea of what 8.3 billion dollar can do.

Items

Dollar amount

for each

Quantity

Row Total

Item/Kilil

High School 150,000 90 13,500,000.00 9 schools/Kilil
University 30,000,000 18 540,000,000.00 2 universities/kilil
Junior College 15,000,000 27 405,000,000.00 3 Colleges/Lilil
Hospital 35,000,000 36 1,260,000,000.00 4 hospitals/Kilil
Health Center 175,000 180 31,500,000.00 20 health centers/Kilil
Oil Factory 25,000,000 6 150,000,000.00 2 oil factories/Kilil
Cement Factory 45,000,000 4 180,000,000.00 2 cement factories/Kilil
Abay Dam 4,800,000,000 1 4,800,000,000.00
Agro Industrial Complex -1 230,000,000 1 230,000,000.00
Agro Industrial Complex -2 230,000,000 1 230,000,000.00
Agro Industrial Complex -3 230,000,000 1 230,000,000.00
Agro Industrial Complex -4 230,000,000 1 230,000,000.00
Total 8,300,000,000
As the above table clearly shows, the 8.4 billion dollar stolen by Meles Zenawi and his friends can build the Abay Dam and everything on the table without forcing the public to contribute money or buy bond.  So why are the TPLF leaders stealing public fund in billions on one hand, and forcing the public to buy bond on the other?  By the way, what is the bond buying public financing?   The Abay Dam, or the foreign bank account of the big thieves?  I’m sure most of us didn’t answer the dam, if we did; we must be  dam…n

On Saturday May the 28th; on the 20th anniversary of Ethiopia’s enslavement; Zenawi said: EPRDF and the Ethiopian people will do everything possible to complete the Abay project in less cost and time. He also said- “we are the engineers of the dam, and we are the sources of finance for the dam”. I don’t know what he meant by “We”, but the man that said “we are the source of finance for the Millennium Dam”,  is the same man that led a pack of  ‘ravens’  who snatched a whopping 8.4 billion dollar form the people of Ethiopia who are suffering from unprecedented hyperinflation.  If this man is for real and if he wants to be the source of finance for the Abay dam,  I demand that he and his friends return the 8.4 billion dollar they stole from the Ethiopian people. Then for that amount of money,  the Ethiopian people can build not just a dam, or not only a one dimensional dam that produces only electricity, they can build at least five  multipurpose dams  that can be used for irrigation and produce electricity. I remember, once I heard PM Meles saying “leaders lead by example”. I am afraid, if stealing in billions is what he wants the Ethiopian people to follow, Ethiopia doesn’t have that amount of resources. I’m sure our country has enough resources to satisfy everyone’s need, but not to satisfy anyone’s greed.

According to the UNDP data, the average amount of money taken by the TPLF robbers over the period 1991 through 1999 is $ 442,000,000. Well, if you are shocked by this amount, lay back and hold your breath because this is just the tip of the ice berg.  As the second table clearly shows, from 2004 to 2008 the average dollar amount stolen by Zenawi and his friends increases astronomically from 442 million dollar a year to a whopping 1.2 billion dollar a year.  This means between 2004 and 2008, every year for five years, the dedebit ravens snatched 1,237,000,000 US dollar from the Ethiopian people whose per capita income is less than $1000.

By the way, what is the explanation for such a dramatic swing in the amount of capital stolen in 2004 and thereafter?  The answer to this question is trivial, and there are two factors that correctly explain why the mobs in Addis Ababa were busy robbing the nation between 2004 and 2008. The year 2004 was the year Meles and his gangs underestimated the political maturity of the Ethiopian people, and the year 2005 was the year the Ethiopian people sent a clear message to the Meles Zenawi and his most hated party- the TPLF. Moreover, let’s not forget that Meles Zenawi’s tasteless song of “double digit economic growth” started after the 2005 election. I guess, now it is clear that it is not the Ethiopian economy that grew in double-digit numbers, rather it is Zenawi’s foreign bank account that grew in unprecedented 4 digit percentage [look @ the red coded part of the 2nd table].

The amount and rate of the fund transferred between 2004 and 2008 vividly indicates that, after the 2005 election, the TPLF party members understood that their days in power are numbered.  Hence, they started racing against time cashing on everything, including priceless historical Ethiopian artifacts.  As indicted on the 2nd table, form 2003 to 2006, in just three years, the amount of money stolen by the TPLF officials increased from 96, 000,000 to 1,389,800,000 US dollar [ an increase of 1447%].

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
96 20.8 51.4 0 75,3 62 0 200.2 248.9
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
94.5 565.5 332.2 96 541.2 814.8 1389.8 1306.2 2129.5

Many international research findings [including by African Development Bank] indicate that corruption leads to a loss of approximately 50% of tax revenue, which in some instances is a greater amount than a country’s total foreign debt. For example, in 2008, donor countries gave $22.5 billion to sub-Saharan African countries; out of which just four countries, Ethiopia, Uganda, Chad, and Equatorial Guinea shipped 2129.5billion, 1982.9 billion, 1908 billion, and 1371.4 billion dollar [respectively] back to donor countries banks. Based on this fact, one can argue that many African governments including the Ethiopian government need to fight corruption instead of demanding an increase on the level of financial aid.

In today’s Ethiopian society, corruption is the single greatest obstacle to economic and social development. In fact, it is one of the greatest challenges that undermine development by distorting law & order and weakening the institutional foundation on which economic growth depends.  Corruption undermines good government, fundamentally distorts public policy, leads to the misallocation of resources, harms the private sector and private sector development and particularly hurts the poor. One should bear in mind that the cost of corruption comprises not just of the sums of money lost but also of retarded development and increased inequalities between the haves and the have-nots.

Recently, PM Meles Zenawi’s regime started a domestic campaign that forces the public to buy bond or contribute money for the construction of the Abay Dam.  At the beginning, the Prime Minister seemed to rally people behind him by blaming the international community, especially environmental groups, for withholding funding for the dam.  He also was able to muster some patriots by calling the environmental groups – a group that does not want to see a developed Ethiopia.  However, as people found out that Meles Zenawia and his colleagues have amassed more than 8 billion dollar in a foreign bank account, they quickly turned their back on the regime’s request to buy bond. The Ethiopian people have come to know that it is not the withholding of money that delayed the construction of dams in Ethiopia- it is the illicit capital flight by the TPLF party officials which is a major hindrance to the mobilization of domestic resources for development. The illicit capital flight significantly reduces the volume of resources available for investment.

Finally, I want to challenge Zenawi’s mouthpieces here in the Diaspora.  I understand you support the TPLF regime in Ethiopia, and I have no problem with that. However, I do believe you are wise enough to understand that regardless of which type they are [dictatorship, parliamentary or republic]; governments are necessary evils even in their best state. Therefore, we support them when they are in their best state and oppose them when they are not.  But, you supported Zenawi even when he was genocidal.  Why? In the past your lame reason for rejecting accusations against the Ethiopian regime was – no proof or no evidence. When you and the regime boasted “double-digit” economic growth, your cardinal evidence was the UNDP report. Well, now that same UNDP has reported that the TPLF officials have robbed the Ethiopian people 8.4 billon US dollar. Ps have your say! Before asking the Diaspora to buy bond, please ask your prodigy in Ethiopia to return the money he looted from your poor mother, father, sister and brother.


God Bless Ethiopia!


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